15 小時前
This makes no sense. The data here does not tell a clear story. OP tries to claim that "Big bang TGEs are dead," but half of the "Strong TGEs" are up, half of them are down. And by proportion, most of the successful tokens are "Strong TGEs." And then the bottom left quadrant of "weak TGEs" only has 8 entries in it, when it should have more like 1000 entries—most TGEs are weak and have negligible hype. That makes it more obvious that Zora and Virtuals are outliers, which is not a strategy. There is no simple story to tell about how to launch a successful token. Definitely nothing that fits on a Hallmark card. "Launch small and accrue value over time" is another way of saying, "be a sleeper hit," which is not actionable advice. If people are excited about your token, you cannot launch low. That is a fantasy. If you launch Monad at $500M, it will pop up to multi-billion valuation the next block. You're just giving away money to snipers. It's no different from memecoin launches or NFT mints. If the market believes you're worth X, you're gonna be priced at X, like it or not. But while I disagree with the analysis of OP, the vibe is clearly dead-on. The rotation of hot money out of the altcoin market and into the equity market over 2025 has challenged a lot of TGEs. But I tend to think these things are all cyclical. People have short memories in crypto, but I remember many points in past cycles where alts were weak, and every time people tell themselves "well that's it, it's finally over, alts will never again catch a bid." I don't worry too much about that. But in the meantime, entrepreneurs have to keep building, cycle in, cycle out. My advice to them: focus on product, retain your team, treat your community well, and don't mistake your token price as your report card. Remember what you're building and why you're building it, and trust that if you build something that your users love, the market will ultimately reward you. Just might take longer than you once thought.
Big bang TGEs are dead The new playbook: Wait until there’s adoption, or launch small and accrue value over time I analyzed TGEs from the past 18 months for our Safary Certification program, comparing launch mindshare to token performance today Almost every hyped TGE cratered within 48 hours The ones that held up were quiet TGEs with steady believers Take Virtuals - most people don’t realize they TGE'ed a year *before* the AI meta The past few years have rewarded pessimists and punished believers But if we design incentives that reward the protocols building real adoption and fundamentals, the believers may just finally win
6.93萬
250
本頁面內容由第三方提供。除非另有說明,OKX 不是所引用文章的作者,也不對此類材料主張任何版權。該內容僅供參考,並不代表 OKX 觀點,不作為任何形式的認可,也不應被視為投資建議或購買或出售數字資產的招攬。在使用生成式人工智能提供摘要或其他信息的情況下,此類人工智能生成的內容可能不準確或不一致。請閱讀鏈接文章,瞭解更多詳情和信息。OKX 不對第三方網站上的內容負責。包含穩定幣、NFTs 等在內的數字資產涉及較高程度的風險,其價值可能會產生較大波動。請根據自身財務狀況,仔細考慮交易或持有數字資產是否適合您。